Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.060622 0.068581 0.076700 0.085573 0.094968 0.104591 0.115167
2025-09-28 0.048102 0.059787 0.072264 0.086447 0.101996 0.118415 0.136959
2025-10-05 0.043822 0.058424 0.074538 0.093346 0.114433 0.137117 0.163149
2025-10-12 0.036328 0.052311 0.070574 0.092470 0.117556 0.145014 0.176985
2025-10-19 0.031757 0.048968 0.069236 0.094074 0.123020 0.155128 0.192920
2025-10-26 0.027430 0.045402 0.067215 0.094517 0.126843 0.163135 0.206264
2025-11-02 0.024181 0.042825 0.066094 0.095770 0.131390 0.171787 0.220181
2025-11-09 0.020773 0.039671 0.063982 0.095594 0.134066 0.178136 0.231341
2025-11-16 0.016723 0.035185 0.059843 0.092653 0.133217 0.180209 0.237429
2025-11-23 0.013384 0.031302 0.056192 0.090074 0.132602 0.182391 0.243499
2025-11-30 0.011703 0.029706 0.055456 0.091081 0.136268 0.189549 0.255289
2025-12-07 0.010370 0.028498 0.055147 0.092559 0.140454 0.197281 0.267715
2025-12-14 0.009647 0.028330 0.056413 0.096292 0.147712 0.209011 0.285249
2025-12-21 0.008238 0.026818 0.055692 0.097383 0.151683 0.216847 0.298282
2025-12-28 0.008589 0.028508 0.059652 0.104753 0.163601 0.234303 0.322733
2026-01-04 0.006890 0.026147 0.057514 0.103825 0.164945 0.238920 0.331929
2026-01-11 0.005989 0.025172 0.057363 0.105531 0.169599 0.247526 0.345845
2026-01-18 0.004948 0.023712 0.056365 0.106003 0.172617 0.254098 0.357307
2026-01-25 0.004193 0.022721 0.056024 0.107334 0.176710 0.261963 0.370299
2026-02-01 0.003291 0.021156 0.054657 0.107148 0.178773 0.267289 0.380207
2026-02-08 0.002146 0.018521 0.051328 0.104020 0.176868 0.267611 0.383997
2026-02-15 0.001302 0.016228 0.048364 0.101275 0.175363 0.268350 0.388226
2026-02-22 0.000977 0.015480 0.048030 0.102347 0.178917 0.275400 0.400109